Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.037541 0.043839 0.050772 0.058954 0.068334 0.078737 0.091133
2025-06-22 0.028001 0.036181 0.046028 0.058699 0.074511 0.093526 0.118055
2025-06-29 0.021082 0.029815 0.041193 0.056979 0.078171 0.105468 0.143102
2025-07-06 0.016583 0.025434 0.037808 0.056153 0.082393 0.118251 0.170561
2025-07-13 0.014385 0.023687 0.037516 0.059224 0.091997 0.139073 0.211073
2025-07-20 0.012464 0.021915 0.036778 0.061350 0.100298 0.158783 0.252057
2025-07-27 0.010235 0.019185 0.034049 0.059878 0.102759 0.169911 0.281300
2025-08-03 0.008633 0.017179 0.032108 0.059268 0.106308 0.182831 0.314336
2025-08-10 0.007150 0.015085 0.029645 0.057336 0.107278 0.191519 0.341217
2025-08-17 0.006017 0.013423 0.027664 0.055902 0.108799 0.201080 0.370218
2025-08-24 0.005257 0.012352 0.026599 0.055951 0.112871 0.215248 0.408206
2025-08-31 0.004467 0.011062 0.024892 0.054500 0.113924 0.224072 0.437452
2025-09-07 0.004159 0.010794 0.025253 0.057268 0.123484 0.249488 0.499458
2025-09-14 0.003653 0.009969 0.024311 0.057230 0.127516 0.265008 0.544653
2025-09-21 0.003109 0.008940 0.022755 0.055653 0.128206 0.274161 0.578582
2025-09-28 0.002702 0.008166 0.021650 0.054895 0.130488 0.286598 0.619937
2025-10-05 0.002567 0.008088 0.022178 0.057929 0.141278 0.317127 0.699850
2025-10-12 0.002391 0.007862 0.022304 0.060027 0.150207 0.344586 0.775761
2025-10-19 0.002067 0.007135 0.021044 0.058590 0.150930 0.354811 0.816810
2025-10-26 0.001823 0.006593 0.020176 0.057996 0.153520 0.369233 0.867854
2025-11-02 0.001563 0.005936 0.018878 0.056103 0.152765 0.376186 0.903318
2025-11-09 0.001356 0.005399 0.017825 0.054699 0.153020 0.385380 0.944384
2025-11-16 0.001220 0.005075 0.017333 0.054747 0.156914 0.403214 1.006143